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- Presentation
This slide deck provides additional information about CBO’s February 2023 baseline projections of capital gains realizations, which decrease from an estimated high of 8.7 percent of GDP in 2021 down to 3.7 percent of GDP by 2033.
- Presentation
This slide deck provides additional information about CBO’s most recent projections of remittances from the Federal Reserve, which have decreased largely because of higher projected short-term interest rates in 2023 and 2024.
- Presentation
CBO Director Phillip Swagel briefs members of the press on the current budget and economic outlook.
- Working Paper
Using data from 1989 through 2019, the paper examines how changes in retirement wealth, including those stemming from the shift from defined benefit to defined contribution plans, affect measures of wealth concentration.
- Presentation
Presentation by Joseph Kile, CBO’s Director of Microeconomic Analysis, to the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine Roundtable on Macroeconomic and Climate-Related Risks and Opportunities.
- Presentation
This slide deck outlines the models CBO uses to assess the budgetary effects of alternative economic scenarios such as those presented in CBO’s Current View of the Economy in 2023 and 2024 and the Budgetary Implications (November 2022).
- Presentation
This slide deck describes how CBO used a Markov-switching model to assess the uncertainty of the economic forecast presented in CBO’s Current View of the Economy in 2023 and 2024 and the Budgetary Implications (November 2022).
- Presentation
Estimating the Uncertainty of the Economic Forecast Using CBO’s Bayesian Vector Autoregression Model
This slide deck describes how CBO used a Bayesian vector autoregression model to assess the uncertainty of the economic forecast presented in CBO’s Current View of the Economy in 2023 and 2024 and the Budgetary Implications (November 2022).
- Presentation
Presentation by Eric J. Labs, an analyst in CBO’s National Security Division, at the Surface Navy Association’s 35th National Symposium.
- Working Paper
This paper examines the effects of physician payment reductions on the use of physicians' services by dual-eligible beneficiaries—people enrolled in both Medicare and Medicaid—over the 1999–2012 period.