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- Working Paper
This paper describes how CBO uses a Bayesian vector autoregression method to generate alternative economic projections to the agency’s baseline.
- Working Paper
On a present-value basis, CBO estimates that long-term fiscal effects of Medicaid spending on children could offset half or more of the program’s initial outlays, depending on sets of reasonable parameter values.
- Working Paper
This paper presents a simulation model of the markets for light-duty electric vehicles and the associated public charging infrastructure, as well as the network interactions between them.
- Working Paper
This paper provides evidence that supply disruptions, low economic slack, and the interaction of restrained supply with low slack each amplify the effects of expansionary fiscal policies on inflation.
- Working Paper
The U.S. dollar’s status as an international currency has contributed to persistent U.S. trade deficits and, by lowering interest rates, to increased access to credit for U.S. households, businesses, and the federal government.
- Working Paper
This working paper examines how Alabama’s recent expansion of its TANF work requirement to the parents of children between the ages of 6 months and 11 months affects their employment and income.
- Working Paper
Using data from 1989 through 2019, the paper examines how changes in retirement wealth, including those stemming from the shift from defined benefit to defined contribution plans, affect measures of wealth concentration.
- Working Paper
This paper examines the effects of physician payment reductions on the use of physicians' services by dual-eligible beneficiaries—people enrolled in both Medicare and Medicaid—over the 1999–2012 period.
- Working Paper
Fundamental tax reform is examined in a heterogeneous overlapping-generations life-cycle model in which agents face idiosyncratic earnings shocks and uncertain life spans.
- Working Paper
This paper derives and estimates a current account model from the perspective that the current account balance is the difference between national savings and investment.