Search
- Working Paper
This paper examines various factors that affect estimates made by CBO and the staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation of the budgetary savings from tax compliance proposals.
- Working Paper
CBO released a paper calculating hospitals’ profit margins in 2025 under several illustrative scenarios. Although hospitals could face greater financial pressure, the evidence was not sufficient to assess how hospitals might respond.
- Working Paper
This working paper finds evidence for smaller short-term effects on output and employment from tax changes during times of higher unemployment.
- Working Paper
How does CBO estimate increases in hurricane damage between now and 2075? This working paper documents the analysis underlying CBO’s report Potential Increases in Hurricane Damage in the United States: Implications for the Federal Budget.
- Working Paper
This paper describes an approach to modeling U.S. production of energy from shale resources and the outlook for that production. Production is insensitive to the price of oil in the short run but quite responsive within two to three years.
- Working Paper
Under a broad-based carbon tax or cap-and-trade program, some of the reduction in U.S. emissions would probably be offset by increases in foreign emissions, a phenomenon known as carbon leakage.
- Working Paper
This paper shows that considering an aging population is important in analyzing long-term policy changes that involve intergenerational transfers.
- Working Paper
Between 2000 and 2005, spending per beneficiary in the fee-for-service portion of Medicare grew at an annual rate of about 7 percent, but between 2007 and 2010, that rate was closer to 4 percent. What caused that slowdown?
- Working Paper
This working paper models decisions about purchasing annuities in a context in which individuals learn new information about their health status over time.
- Working Paper
This working paper describes the methods developed to project individual earnings in CBO’s long-term microsimulation model.