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Retirement

The federal government devotes a substantial and growing share of its budget to benefits for the nation's retirees through Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and other programs. According to CBO’s projections, federal spending on the “big three” benefit programs will grow from less than half of all federal spending in 2012 to three-fifths in 2023. CBO projects federal spending for those programs under current law for the next decade and for the longer term, and it analyzes a wide range of proposals to change those programs. (See Health Care for further discussion of CBO’s work on federal health care programs.) Additionally, the exclusion of pension contributions and earnings from taxable income constitutes one of the largest preferences in the federal income tax code. Together with the staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation, CBO analyzes the budgetary and economic effects of such tax preferences and potential changes to them.

Sub-Topics:

  • Medicare
  • Pensions
  • Private Health Insurance
  • Social Security
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A 125-Year Picture of the Federal Government's Share of the Economy, 1950 to 2075

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June 14, 2002

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Preliminary Cost Estimates of the Effects on Direct Spending of Establishing a Prescription Drug Benefit in Medicare

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April 8, 2002

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Testimony on Projections of Medicare and Prescription Drug Spending

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March 7, 2002

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Accrual Budgeting for Military Retirees' Health Care

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March 1, 2002

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Testimony on Social Security: The Challenges of an Aging Population

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December 10, 2001

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Uncertainty in Social Security's Long-Term Finances: A Stochastic Analysis

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December 1, 2001

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Social Security: A Primer

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September 1, 2001

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Letter to the Honorable Michael Bilirakis regarding CBO's estimate of the costs of a prescription drug benefit in Medicare

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August 10, 2001

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Letter to the Honorable Jim Nussle regarding concurrent payment of military retirement annuities and disability compensation

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June 20, 2001

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Letter to the Honorable Max Baucus regarding updated estimates of the direct spending effects of four proposals from the 106th Congress for a prescription drug benefit in Medicare (Tables 1 and 5 corrected 08/10/2001)

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June 11, 2001

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