Long-Term Budget Analysis
- Presentation
Budget and Economic Projections
Presentation by Phillip Swagel, CBO’s Director, at the Committee for Economic Development’s Policy Conference.
- Report
The Economic Effects of Waiting to Stabilize Federal Debt
CBO analyzes the economic effects of waiting to stabilize federal debt. The longer action is delayed, the larger the policy changes needed to stabilize debt. The timing and type of policy would determine its effects on different age and income groups.
- Blog Post
Update on the Timing of CBO’s Budget and Economic Projections
CBO anticipates publishing its budget and economic projections during the week of May 23 and releasing its analysis of the President’s budget request by early July.
- Report
Federal Debt Under Alternative Paths for Interest Rates
CBO responds to Congressman Jason Smith's request for the agency's estimate of the effects of higher interest rates on federal debt over the long term.
- Report
Long-Term Costs of the Administration’s 2022 Defense Budget
CBO analyzes DoD’s plans for 2022 as presented in the Biden Administration’s 2022 budget request and projects how those plans would affect defense costs through 2031. Those costs would increase by 10 percent over that period, CBO projects.
- Report
An Analysis of the Navy’s Fiscal Year 2022 Shipbuilding Plan
CBO estimates that the Navy’s total shipbuilding budget would average between $25 billion and $33 billion (in 2021 dollars) per year through 2052 to build a force of between 398 and 512 manned ships and unmanned vessels.
- Report
CBO’s 2021 Long-Term Projections for Social Security: Additional Information
In lieu of publishing a separate report providing additional information about CBO’s long-term projections for Social Security, the agency is publishing the data that it would have presented in that report.
- Presentation
An Overview of the 2021 Long-Term Budget Outlook
Presentation by Phillip Swagel, CBO’s Director, to the Conference Board.
- Presentation
CBO’s Policy Growth Model
The Policy Growth Model is one in a suite of models that CBO uses to analyze how economic growth and the federal budget interact.
- Report
An Analysis of the Navy’s December 2020 Shipbuilding Plan
CBO estimates that the total shipbuilding budget would average $34 billion per year, 10 percent more than the Navy estimates. The Navy’s average shipbuilding budget would be almost 50 percent larger, on average, than those of recent years.