Economy
- Presentation
CBO’s Economic Forecast: Understanding Productivity Growth
Presentation by Aaron Betz, an analyst in CBO’s Macroeconomic Analysis Division, at the NABE Foundation’s 20th Annual Economic Measurement Seminar.
- Report
CBO’s Economic Forecasting Record: 2023 Update
CBO assesses its two-year and five-year economic forecasts and compares them with forecasts of the Administration and the Blue Chip consensus, an average of about 50 private-sector forecasts.
- Report
The 2023 Long-Term Budget Outlook
The U.S. faces a challenging fiscal outlook in the coming years, according to CBO's projections. Measured as a percentage of GDP, large and sustained deficits lead to high and rising federal debt that exceeds any previously recorded level.
- Report
CBO’s Work Related to Climate Change and Health Care Delivery Systems
In response to a request from Chairman Whitehouse, CBO provides information about its efforts to assess risks posed by climate change and to examine the effects that reforms to health care delivery systems have on costs and health outcomes.
- Blog Post
CBO Issues Schedule for Release of Long-Term Budget Projections and Economic Update
CBO will release its long-term budget projections on June 28 and an update to its economic forecast for the next three years on July 31.
- Report
Automatic Stabilizers in the Federal Budget: 2023 to 2033
CBO projects the budgetary effects of automatic stabilizers—as well as the size of deficits without them—from 2023 to 2033 and provides historical estimates of the stabilizers’ effects since 1973.
- Report
An Analysis of the Discretionary Spending Proposals in the President’s 2024 Budget
CBO examines how the discretionary spending proposals in the President’s 2024 budget compare with CBO’s most recent baseline budget projections, which span 2023 to 2033.
- Report
Budgetary Outcomes Under Alternative Assumptions About Spending and Revenues
CBO provides information about how its most recent budget projections would change under different assumptions about future legislated policies.
- Report
Federal Debt and the Statutory Limit, May 2023
CBO projects that if the debt limit remains unchanged, there is a significant risk that at some point in the first two weeks of June, the government will no longer be able to pay all of its obligations.
- Report
Trends in Corporate Economic Profits and Tax Payments, 1998 to 2017
Over recent decades, corporate economic profits have grown faster than the amounts that corporations pay in federal taxes. CBO examined the factors that explain why corporate tax payments have not grown with corporate economic profits.