Long-Term Budget Analysis
- Data and Technical Information
Uncertainty of CBO's Projections of the Budget Deficit or Surplus Under Current Policies - February 2005
Figure 1, Uncertainty of CBO's Projections of the Budget Deficit or Surplus Under Current Policies.
- Working Paper
Analyzing an Aging Population--A Dynamic General Equilibrium Approach: Technical Paper 2004-03
A description of the model used to analyze the macroeconomic effects of Social Security policy proposals.
- Working Paper
Incorporating Longevity Effects into Long-Term Medicare Projections: Technical Paper 2004-02
The cost of the Medicare program will increase dramatically as the baby boom generation reaches retirement. Results from the CBO Long-Term Model indicate that Medicare costs will equal more than 9 percent of GDP by 2078.
- Data and Technical Information
Projected Long-Term Spending and Revenues - December 2003
Projected long-term spending and revenues, year by year, under six long-term budget scenarios; economic factors underlying the scenarios.
- Working Paper
Alternative Methods for Projecting Equity Returns: Implications for Evaluating Social Security Reform Proposals: Technical Paper 2003-08
The effect upon Social Security benefits resulting from the introduction of individual accounts depends on potential risks and returns of private equities, yet evidence about determinants of stock market risks and returns is mixed.