Long-Term Budget Analysis
- Blog Post
The 2018 Long-Term Budget Outlook at a Glance
In June, CBO released The 2018 Long-Term Budget Outlook, describing the agency’s projections of federal spending, revenues, deficits, and debt over the next 30 years. This post presents some of the key takeaways from that report.
- Presentation
The 2018 Long-Term Budget Outlook in 25 Slides
These slides summarize CBO’s budget projections as presented in The 2018 Long-Term Budget Outlook.
- Report
CBO’s 2018 Long-Term Projections for Social Security: Additional Information
In lieu of publishing a separate report providing additional information on the agency’s long-term projections for Social Security, CBO is publishing the data that it would have presented in that report.
- Report
The Deficit Reductions Necessary to Meet Various Targets for Federal Debt
What changes in federal budget deficits would be necessary to reduce debt held by the public over the long term? CBO analyzed the primary deficit reductions necessary to meet three different debt targets in four different time frames.
- Report
The Long-Term Budget Outlook Under Alternative Scenarios for Fiscal Policy
Expanding on its earlier long-term baseline projections, CBO shows how the federal budget and the economy would evolve under three scenarios in which laws would be changed to continue certain policies now in place, leading to higher debt.
- Blog Post
Director’s Statement on The 2018 Long-Term Budget Outlook
Today CBO released The 2018 Long-Term Budget Outlook. The report finds that if current laws generally remained unchanged, growing budget deficits would boost debt sharply in coming years.
- Report
The 2018 Long-Term Budget Outlook
If current laws remain generally unchanged, CBO projects, federal budget deficits and debt would increase over the next 30 years—reaching the highest level of debt relative to GDP in the nation’s history by far.
- Blog Post
CBO to Release Long-Term Budget Outlook on June 26
CBO will release The 2018 Long-Term Budget Outlook at 10:00 a.m. on Tuesday, June 26. The long-term projections—which span 30 years—are consistent with CBO’s latest 10-year budget and economic projections.
- Report
An Overview of CBOLT: The Congressional Budget Office Long-Term Model
CBOLT is the main analytical tool that CBO uses to make long-term projections of the economy and federal budget. Those projections help shed light on fiscal challenges that extend beyond CBO’s standard 10-year projection window.
- Presentation
CBO’s Service to the Congress
Presentation by Mark Hadley, CBO's Deputy Director, at the University of Wisconsin–Madison’s Tommy G. Thompson Center on Public Leadership.