Outlook for the Budget and the Economy
- Presentation
The U.S. Budget and Economic Outlook
Presentation by Phillip Swagel, CBO’s Director, at the 2024 Inforum Outlook Conference.
- Report
How Changes in Economic Conditions Might Affect the Federal Budget: 2024 to 2034
To show how variations in economic conditions might affect its budget projections, CBO analyzed how revenues, outlays, and deficits might change if the values of key economic variables differed from those in the agency’s forecast.
- Interactive
Workbook for How Changes in Economic Conditions Might Affect the Federal Budget: 2024 to 2034
This workbook allows users to define and analyze alternative economic scenarios by specifying differences in the values of four economic variables relative to the values underlying CBO's February 2024 projections.
- Report
Answers to Questions for the Record Following a Hearing on The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2024 to 2034
The House Committee on the Budget convened a hearing at which Phillip L. Swagel, CBO's Director, testified. This document provides CBO’s answers to questions submitted for the record.
- Report
The Long-Term Budget Outlook: 2024 to 2054
The federal budget deficit increases significantly in relation to gross domestic product over the next 30 years, in CBO’s projections, pushing federal debt held by the public far beyond any previously recorded level.
- Blog Post
Presentations on CBO’s New Projections
CBO's Director, Phillip Swagel, discusses his most recent and upcoming presentations about the projections in CBO’s report, "The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2024 to 2034."
- Report
Testimony on The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2024 to 2034
CBO’s Director, Phillip Swagel, testifies before the House Budget Committee.
- Blog Post
Director’s Statement on the Budget and Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034
CBO’s Director, Phillip Swagel, discusses the current budget and economic outlook.
- Presentation
The Budget and Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034: Press Briefing Slides
CBO’s Director, Phillip Swagel, briefs members of the press on the current budget and economic outlook.
- Report
The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2024 to 2034
In CBO’s projections, federal budget deficits total $20 trillion over the 2025–2034 period and federal debt held by the public reaches 116 percent of GDP. Economic growth slows to 1.5 percent in 2024 and then continues at a moderate pace.