Economy
- Report
Automatic Stabilizers in the Federal Budget: 2023 to 2033
CBO projects the budgetary effects of automatic stabilizers—as well as the size of deficits without them—from 2023 to 2033 and provides historical estimates of the stabilizers’ effects since 1973.
- Report
An Analysis of the Discretionary Spending Proposals in the President’s 2024 Budget
CBO examines how the discretionary spending proposals in the President’s 2024 budget compare with CBO’s most recent baseline budget projections, which span 2023 to 2033.
- Report
Budgetary Outcomes Under Alternative Assumptions About Spending and Revenues
CBO provides information about how its most recent budget projections would change under different assumptions about future legislated policies.
- Report
Federal Debt and the Statutory Limit, May 2023
CBO projects that if the debt limit remains unchanged, there is a significant risk that at some point in the first two weeks of June, the government will no longer be able to pay all of its obligations.
- Report
Trends in Corporate Economic Profits and Tax Payments, 1998 to 2017
Over recent decades, corporate economic profits have grown faster than the amounts that corporations pay in federal taxes. CBO examined the factors that explain why corporate tax payments have not grown with corporate economic profits.
- Report
How Changes in Economic Conditions Might Affect the Federal Budget: 2023 to 2033
To show how variations in economic conditions might affect its budget projections, CBO analyzed how revenues, outlays, and deficits might change if the values of key economic variables differed from those in the agency’s forecast.
- Report
An Evaluation of CBO’s Projections of Outlays From 1984 to 2021
In this report, CBO uses various measures to assess the quality of its past projections of federal outlays. The analysis focuses on three fiscal years within each projection period: the budget year, the 6th year, and the 11th year.
- Working Paper
Effects of Fiscal Policy on Inflation: Implications of Supply Disruptions and Economic Slack: Working Paper 2023-05
This paper provides evidence that supply disruptions, low economic slack, and the interaction of restrained supply with low slack each amplify the effects of expansionary fiscal policies on inflation.
- Report
Report on the Troubled Asset Relief Program–April 2023
Lawmakers created the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) in 2008 to stabilize financial markets. The TARP’s net cost will be $31 billion, CBO estimates—about the same as what the agency last reported in May 2022 and similar to OMB’s latest estimate.
- Report
CBO Explains How It Develops the Budget Baseline
The Congressional Budget Act of 1974 requires CBO to produce an annual report on federal spending, revenues, and deficits or surpluses. This document provides answers to questions about how CBO prepares those baseline budget projections.